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Pharmacovigilance

Can AI Detect Drug Safety Signals Faster?

UBIQ Events
·
October 23, 2026
Can AI Detect Drug Safety Signals Faster?

Key takeaway

Europe received 1.77 million adverse reaction reports in 2025, but only 60 confirmed signals reached PRAC. How AI speeds up signal detection, and why medical judgment still decides.

Short answer: Yes, at the detection and prioritisation stages. AI can screen literature, remove duplicate reports, cluster patterns across millions of cases and flag rare events earlier than classical statistics. It cannot decide what a signal means. Causality, clinical interpretation and benefit–risk decisions stay with qualified medical experts, and regulators now expect that split to be documented.

Key takeaways

  • EudraVigilance received 1,765,581 individual case safety reports in 2025 and held more than 31.2 million in total (EMA EudraVigilance annual report 2025).
  • From that volume, EMA reviewed 1,201 potential signals, PRAC assessed 60 confirmed signals, and 26 led to product information updates (EMA).
  • The EMA and FDA published 10 joint principles of good AI practice in January 2026, starting with "human-centric by design" and a risk-based approach (EMA).
  • The CIOMS Working Group XIV report on AI in pharmacovigilance sets out a risk-based approach and defined levels of human oversight (Qualio summary).

Why is signal management under pressure?

Case volumes keep growing, products are more complex, and safety data now arrives from many more places: electronic health records, claims databases, registries, patient-reported outcomes, wearables and social media. Most of it is unstructured narrative text. Classical signal detection was designed for lower volumes and linear workflows. It is methodologically robust, but largely manual, retrospective and expensive to scale.

The numbers show the funnel. Europe's safety database took in 1.77 million reports in 2025. EMA reviewed 1,201 potential signals, and only 60 confirmed signals reached PRAC for assessment. Every step in between depends on expert time, and false positives and duplicate cases consume much of it.

What did we hear on our stage?

At the 5th Pharmacovigilance & Drug Safety Conference in Madrid in April 2026, Dimitris Zampatis, Director Product Patient Safety at Sandoz International, presented "Signal Management in the AI Era", sharing his personal views. His conclusion was that AI changes where people spend their time, not whether they are needed:

"AI augments signal management by shifting human effort from detection to interpretation."
Dimitris Zampatis, 5th Pharmacovigilance & Drug Safety Conference, April 2026

He also noted that signal management remains a key inspection focus, and that regulators assess AI as part of the signal management system, not as a standalone tool.

Where does AI already speed up signal detection?

Zampatis walked through five published examples of AI applied across the signal lifecycle:

  • Literature screening: BERT-based text-mining models classify oncology publications, so serious adverse reactions reach formal assessment sooner.
  • Rare adverse reactions: random forest classifiers help prioritise rare signal candidates hidden in background noise.
  • Rare serious adverse events: deep neural networks model complex risk patterns that classical methods pick up late.
  • Predictive risk modelling: ensemble machine-learning models spot early signal trajectories before clear disproportionality appears.
  • Social media: deep-learning models flag posts that describe possible adverse reactions in near real time.

Day to day, the most common uses are less dramatic: automated literature screening, machine-learning duplicate detection and prioritisation dashboards that tell reviewers where to look first. EMA is moving the same way. Its 2025 report describes new signal analytics tools as "a significant step towards an automated and integrated system for signal detection".

What can AI not do?

Zampatis was equally clear about the limits. Models are biased towards frequent events, so rare but critical signals can be under-detected. They cannot fully adjust for confounding in real-world data, they learn poorly from small early-lifecycle datasets, and they can rank signals on data artefacts rather than clinical relevance.

That is why five responsibilities stay with qualified medical professionals: causality assessment, biological plausibility, clinical interpretation, benefit–risk integration and regulatory decision-making. In his hybrid model, AI handles detection, pattern recognition and prioritisation; people handle validation, medical assessment and regulatory action.

What do regulators expect from AI-enabled signal management?

The expectations are converging. Zampatis listed four: proactive and timely surveillance, clearly defined human accountability for AI-supported decisions, documented validation with ongoing performance monitoring, and traceable audit trails, including overrides. The EMA–FDA principles ask for proportionate validation and oversight, and for life cycle management that monitors models and re-evaluates them to address data drift. The CIOMS report distinguishes human-in-the-loop, where a person makes the final decision, from human-on-the-loop, where people monitor automation continuously.

The common inspection risks follow from that: weak AI governance, bias in training data, poor change control when models are retrained, and over-automation without documented medical oversight.

What this means for safety teams

  • Start where volume hurts most. Literature screening and duplicate detection deliver time savings with low clinical risk.
  • Use AI to prioritise, not to conclude. Let models rank signal candidates; keep validation and causality with medical reviewers.
  • Validate before you scale. Document performance, monitor drift and treat every retraining as a controlled change.
  • Log every override. Inspectors will ask who decided, on what evidence, and when a human disagreed with the model.
  • Widen the data, carefully. Real-world data and social media add early warnings, but also confounding and noise.

What to watch in 2027

  • EMA signal analytics: how the new PV Signal and PV Reports tools change signal volumes and timelines.
  • Inspection findings: the first PV inspection reports that cite AI governance or change control.
  • EU AI Act obligations: how human-oversight rules apply to AI tools used in pharmacovigilance.
  • Predictive signal intelligence: mechanism-based prediction and AI-drafted signal summaries moving from pilots into routine use.

Sources

  1. Zampatis, D. (2026). Signal Management in the AI Era. Presentation at the 5th Pharmacovigilance & Drug Safety Conference, UBIQ Events, April 2026.
  2. European Medicines Agency. (2026). 2025 Annual Report on EudraVigilance for the European Parliament, the Council and the Commission. ema.europa.eu (accessed 23 October 2026)
  3. European Medicines Agency and US Food and Drug Administration. (2026). Guiding principles of good AI practice in drug development. ema.europa.eu (accessed 23 October 2026)
  4. Qualio. (2025). What the CIOMS report on AI in pharmacovigilance means. qualio.com (accessed 23 October 2026)

Header photo: 1981 Digital on Unsplash.

Frequently asked questions

What is signal detection in pharmacovigilance?

Signal detection is the search for new or changed safety information about a medicine, such as a possible new adverse reaction, in reports, literature, clinical trials and real-world data. A signal is then validated, prioritised and assessed before any regulatory action.

Can AI replace pharmacovigilance experts?

No. AI can screen and prioritise data at scale, but causality assessment, clinical interpretation and benefit–risk decisions require qualified medical professionals, and regulators expect clear human accountability for AI-supported decisions.

How many safety signals does the EMA assess each year?

In 2025, EMA reviewed 1,201 potential signals and PRAC assessed 60 confirmed signals, 26 of which led to updates of product information.

What do regulators expect when AI is used in signal management?

Documented validation, ongoing performance monitoring, change control for model updates, traceable audit trails including overrides, and defined human oversight, in line with the EMA–FDA good AI practice principles and the CIOMS XIV report.

Where can I discuss AI in drug safety with industry leaders?

The Pharmacovigilance & Drug Safety Conference, organised by UBIQ Events, brings together pharmacovigilance and drug safety leaders to discuss AI in case processing, signal management and inspection readiness.

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